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Questions? Call (888) 820 104232 Year low In Sterling US dollar exchange rate Improving Economic Data Post Brexit Vote Bank of England Willingness To Take Action With US stock prices at record highs and little room for further price growth in…
The latest comments by Federal Reserve Chair Ms. Yellen have given the US dollar a boost and spooked the Bond market. Yellen made a speech at Harvard on Friday morning, and the market read her statements as being conclusive to…
13F filings show that Warren Buffett has been selling some holdings from his equity portfolio during the first quarter of 2016. That might not seem anything particular, but when you consider this investor’s motto is “Our holding period is forever”…
Puerto Rico has been in a period of economic stagnation that goes back decades. Along with the decline in GDP, it has also been losing citizens to the mainland, a trend that is causing a decreasing population. High government spending…
Strength of most recent rally subdued Not all stock market rallies are made the same. Some have incredible momentum, with average daily gains well above 1% and many single day gains above 3%. A strong upward move in a broad…
Stocks have had an amazing rally since they bottomed out in March 2009 at 735. Over the next 6 years, the S&P 500 reached a new high in May 2015 at 2107, which represented an 186% increase from trough to…
Back on December 14, I argued that various fundamental, technical and macro developments indicated that the stock market was set for a fall. Call it luck rather than skill, but the S&P 500 index slid roughly 200 points over the following two months, hitting a…
There was a time when you might well have asked who cares if China’s debt load is excessive? But things have changed so much; China is now the second largest single economy in the world. As we saw last summer…
Since hitting a low on January 20, the iPath Bloomberg Commodity Index Total Return ETN (DJP), a proxy for commodity markets as a whole, has risen by 10.6%. The rally has largely been powered by rising prices for oil and…
Based on recent reports, many investors believe the turbulence that impacted various markets earlier this year has come and gone. But that doesn’t necessarily mean that sentiment is ripe–sufficiently complacent–for a broad range of negative fundamental and macroeconomic forces–discussed here,…
The Stock market got off to a bumpy start to the beginning of the year amid concerns about global recession and fears of a hard landing for the Chinese economy. However, the past three weeks has seen the stock market…
Last week’s column, “Is the ‘Crowd’ too Bearish?” discussed whether excessive pessimism on Wall Street had set the stage for corrective countertrend moves in various markets. As of now, the question remains open. After a choppy week, equities and Treasury…
The economic recovery and mild expansion has been possible mostly thanks to the enormous amounts of money printed by the FED. The so called Quantitative Easing, which simply consists of printing new money and increasing government debt. Is QE a…
In light of recent market turbulence, one question investors might naturally be thinking about is how concerned should they be? Before answering, it is worth considering two things that old Wall Street hands try to keep in mind. The first is the fact that…
Gold makes strong start to the year Gold has put on a great rally since the beginning of the year after having reached a most recent low at the beginning of December last year. Since its close on December 31st…
Gold has gained more than 15% to just over $1,200 an ounce since hitting multi-year lows in December. The Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) has fared even better, rallying roughly 40% over the span. The question now, of course,…
A number of fixed-income markets have been on a tear in recent weeks. Treasurys, for example, have rallied sharply, pushing yields lower across the board. So, too, have some municipal and higher-rated corporate bonds. Does that mean what I argued…
Precious metals are generally seen as a store of value, a hedge against inflation and a safe haven during times of trouble. As such, they are an important defense against threats that are known or seem imminent. However, gold, silver and platinum can also…
The real estate sector’s solid performance in recent years has convinced many investors that it is an attractive alternative to traditional investments. For some, it seems, property is a safer haven than gold and other precious metals. However, there are reasons to believe this might not be the case going…
It’s tough being a contrarian. Prices may initially move in a direction that is opposite to what is expected. People will offer plenty of reasons why non-mainstream views are wrong, or at the very least, early. It can be difficult…
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